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Retail Banking

Battening down the hatches

Finance executives forecast recession into 2010; turn to new strategies and metrics to navigate the storm. From employee benefits to business travel, companies balance cost cuts with investment in recovery and growth, according to the second annual American Express/CFO Research Global Business & Spending Monitor.
The world’s senior finance executives are focusing on aggressive new methods to reduce and control costs in the face of the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression. At the same time, many businesses are continuing to invest in areas such as technology, marketing, and R&D to generate revenue and improve their operations once the recovery begins.
These findings come from the second annual American Express/CFO Research Global Business & Spending Monitor, a survey of 285 senior finance executives from the United States, Europe, Canada, Mexico, Asia, and Australia.
“While companies are clearly focused on cutting where they can, they are spending when they should to become more efficient and keep revenue flowing,” said Gunther Bright, Senior Vice President, Global Client Group at American Express. “They’re also measuring themselves against new metrics that reflect today’s market reality, as well as a post-recession global economy.”
Companies in all regions remain pessimistic about the prospects of rapid economic recovery, with nearly 70 per cent of respondents expecting to see recovery begin sometime in 2010. Over two-thirds of respondents predicted modest to substantial economic contraction over the next 12 months, and 63 per cent reported that their companies’ capital investments will decrease in 2009.
When asked about changes in their workforce, 59 per cent of respondents anticipate a decrease in headcount. But companies are also taking actions now to avoid layoffs. Half the executives polled reported plans to freeze salaries and bonuses, while 32 per cent plan to reduce benefits and 29 per cent plan to cut salaries and bonuses. Twenty-four percent plan to reduce employee work hours or give furloughs and 16 per cent plan temporary office or plant closures.
Cost control strategies also dominated finance executives’ sentiments as they continue to deal with the recession:
- 85 per cent are tightening controls over employee spending;
- 82 per cent are placing greater emphasis on measuring and monitoring company financial performance;
- 71 per cent are improving internal financial controls.
Despite the weight of the economic downturn, the survey says that many companies are taking proactive steps to ride out the storm and position themselves for recovery. The research revealed a clear divide between investments that companies feel are vital to controlling costs or increasing revenues, and those that may be delayed until a recovery begins.
When asked where it would be important to sustain spending, companies identified information technology (69 per cent), employee benefits (64 per cent), marketing/advertising/PR (57 per cent), and research and development (54 per cent). Other areas of investment, such as merger opportunities and third-party consultants, were much less likely to be rated as important categories to sustain spending.
Finance executives’ attitudes toward business travel told a similar story. Overall, 87 per cent of respondents reported that their companies plan to spend less on business travel this year, with 44 per cent expecting a decrease of more than 10 per cent. Yet the corporate travel mix is shifting toward a heavy focus on revenue-generating travel:
- 82 per cent are likely to maintain or increase travel for meetings with new clients or for business development;
- 66 per cent plan to maintain or increase travel for meetings with existing clients.
- The precipitous decline of economies around the world, combined with the expectation that the recession will not reverse itself quickly, have led companies to explore new ways to measure success.
- Many respondents reported using or considering new metrics for financial performance (55 per cent), operational efficiency (54 per cent) and cash flow/capital spending (54 per cent);
- 77 per cent of companies reported that they have completed, are executing, or plan to revise their forecasting methods;
70 per cent of respondents said their companies had adopted a formal program to improve employees’ understanding of their contribution to business performance; 64 per cent said they are working to refine or develop new business models to deal with the downturn.
One finance executive reported creating a financial early warning system by using forward looking projections linked to performance benchmarks his company must hit to maintain access to credit. Another said, “We are measuring return on sales, capital employed, days of working capital, etc. These are all areas (and several others) that were previously neglected.”
Emerging measurement strategies also included:
- Emphasising return on investment over earnings per share;
- Focusing on direct impact on company profitability by line of business;
- Measuring customer profitability;
- Creating a “corporate dashboard” to track changes among a company’s key assets;
- Examining employee productivity measures such as sales per employee and value-added per employee.
“Companies are adopting measurements that relate to productivity, profits and ROI,” added Bright. “As we’ve heard from our own clients, a smart mix of data and insight can help executives make better decisions about strategy and investment in this challenging economic environment.”
CFO Research Services surveyed 285 senior finance executives at large global companies across a wide range of industries in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Europe, Asia, and Australia. Company revenues ranged from $500 million to more than $20 billion. The research program, which included an online survey and interviews with senior financial executives, was completed in April 2009.
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